Thursday, January 2, 2014
Predictions for 2014
Nope. Not going to make any.
Anyone can look at the trends from 2013 and make an educated where these things will end up. In fact, a lot of them will probably end up where we expect them to go. Anything that can't go on indefinitely -won't. It's a truism, because it's true. Plenty of other people do a good job of connecting the dots. No need for me to join them.
What really interests me is the things we don't see coming. Disruptive things. Game changers. Can you guess why I'm so interested in them? Why does a bit of chaos make me smile?
Think about it. Who benefits from the status quo? Those at the top, that's who. Anyone think they've had their way too long? The rich get richer. The powerful get more powerful. That's the applecart, so it's no wonder I'm interested in the things that can upset it. To continue the metaphor, us little folks don't have any apples in the cart anymore.
What are game changers? It could be a disruptive technology. It could be a political awakening. Religious change. Spiritual awakenings. New financial systems. Those are just some general categories -no specifics here. Real disruption most likely will come from way out in left field.
The big difference these days is that changes, thanks to the interconnectedness of the world, can spread faster than ever before. Even more disruptive is the peer to peer nature of the Internet. There's no need to go through authorities, bosses, or chiefs of any kind. Peon to peon communication was never so quick or widespread. No wonder the powers that be want to spy on everyone all the time. They are terribly afraid.
While I won't make any predictions for 2014, I will make a humble suggestion. Keep your eyes open for those game changers; if for no other reason than to avoid getting hit by a falling applecart.