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Friday, June 14, 2019

Tanker War



If you’ve been following the news lately you are aware of the ships that were attacked in the Straights of Hormuz. Another tanker attack recently did not receive much news. Coalition planes attacked three Syrian tankers. Syria is an ally of Iran, so it appears to be a little proxy war going on.

Speaking of proxy wars, Saudi Arabia is fighting in neighboring Yemen against fighters supported by Iran. The Saudis are also committing horrendous human rights abuses against civilians, but apparently that’s not a problem for the Trump administration. Trump has bypassed Congress to make sure the Saudis get absolutely everything they want -including nuclear technology.

We’ve got no business getting in the middle of a fight between Saudi Arabia and Iran. It’s hard to overstate how much those two countries hate each other. The fight goes all the way back to the Shia and Sunni split and gets worse from there. The hatred is so strong that I think Iran would alley with Israel if they agreed to attack Saudi Arabia.

Our history in the region is a laundry list of unintended consequences. Here’s a few high points. The US had allied with the Shah but he was replaced by radical clerics. Later we supported Saddam and Iraq in a war against Iran. Things didn’t go well with the war or with Saddam for that matter. We are currently in a situation where Iran actually has a lot of influence in Iraq where militias backed by them operate freely.

The Saudi’s are not the best allies in the world. They export radical Islam around the world. Never forget that most of the 911 terrorists came from Saudi Arabia. The only reason we supported them in past is oil. Frankly, they are of much less strategic importance to us in recent years.

The US is not as susceptible to price fluctuations in oil. Headlines screamed out that oil prices had “spiked,” but in reality they were less than four percent. I’m old enough to remember the oil embargo days when a spike in oil would be at least forty percent. Crazy times.

Personally, I think we are stumbling into a conflict where we have little to gain and much to lose. I’m sick and tired of seeing young American troops being put in harm’s way when very little of US strategic value is at stake.

-Sixbears

8 comments:

  1. Without the Saudis backng the Petro dollar. Our economy crashes...A tangled web woven long ago , yet doomed from the start.

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    1. It's a long and sordid history and it can't last forever.

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  2. But, but ,but... the MIC needs $$$, and a reason to exist.!!

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  3. I agree - no moar war unless the U.S. is directly being threatened. So many foreign despots have remained in power because they were friendly to the U.S. and enjoyed $$$ or close support.

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    1. We could support the troops by not sending them to wars that prop up dictators and despots.

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  4. If shots are fired between Iran and the U.S. a 40% spike might be on the low side.

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    Replies
    1. We are a lot less dependent on Middle Eastern oil than we used to be.

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