So far outside the box you can't even see the box from here.
Friday, March 1, 2019
Pakistan and India
The conflict between Pakistan and India is troubling. I was pretty concerned when they started shooting down each others jets. By the way, was anyone else surprised to see that old MiG 21s could go toe to toe with F-16 jets?
It does look like things have calmed down a bit but tensions could easily escalate. India is having an election right now so that complicates matters. My main concern is that they are neighbors with nuclear missiles. They are so close that there’s very little time to figure out if a launch is real or not. The use it lose it risk is high.
Pakistan has some serious problems in any conflict. For example, India could park its aircraft carrier off the coast of Pakistan and choke off trade. The conventional forces of India could dictate terms of any settlement. That puts Pakistan in a touch situation. Either they accept Indian terms or use their nuclear trump cards.
Of course, the 500 pound gorilla in the room is China right next door. How will they react?
For that matter, what will the US do? We’ve been in fairly tight with Pakistan when we needed the country as a base for operations in the area. Now that we are pulling out of the region, do we need to be such good buddies with the authoritarian regimes of Pakistan? One would think our natural ally would be India, the world’s largest democracy.
Why be concerned about a local conflict half a world away? When nuclear weapons are used anywhere on planet earth, everyone feels the effects. Even if they have just a conventional war, it could set off world wide economic collapse. All the major economies are connected.
I live in an area of NH known as the Great North Woods. I'm in my dome-i-cile out in the county with my lovely wife and a varying number of family and friends
-part red neck, part hippie but all country. Experimenting and enjoying the adventure of life.