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Wednesday, November 8, 2023

Polls and elections



People are getting upset about political polling numbers. Can’t we all admit by now that polls, especially at this point in the game, mean little? All they seem to do is upset people who’s candidate lost when expected to win. 


We just had some actual local elections in various states. Pay attention to who wins and by how much. Also, check out what other measures pass. Are they conservative or more liberal? That will give you a bit better idea on how the general election is shaping up. 


Think about how polls are conducted. Often it’s still done over landline phones. So you have to ask yourself: what kind of person has a landline and answers calls from strange numbers? That’s your poll pool. Throw in some cherry picked polls with questionable methodology and then it’s all a mess. 


It doesn’t help that so many politicians, on all sides, are very very old. Health or even death could remove them from the election. 


Of course, one certain politician is in deep legal trouble right now. That could give younger polliticans a chance to hit the national state. 


At any rate, interesting times. 


-Sixbears

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