Your experience with
supply chain disruptions and shortages depends on where you live and
what you plan on buying.
My area of northern
New Hampshire is a known food dessert in the best of times. It’s
gotten worse. A few days ago the food section of the nearest Walmart
was half empty. They were out of some very basic items like eggs. A
much smaller store had them, but they get a lot of supplies from more
local sources.
One underrated
survival skill is the ability to cook a wide variety of foods. A good
cook can take whatever is available and make something good tasting
out of it. At one time I said, only half joking, that I did so much
with so little for so long that I could anything with nothing. That
goes for more than food, of course.
It’s been well
publicized that there have been shortages of everything from computer
chips, to foam to even lubricants. If you were shopping for a new
vehicle or an RV you know all about it.
So what’s going
on? Why are we so vulnerable to supply chain disruptions? Blame late
stage Capitalism. Capitalism is very good at selecting more and more
efficient ways of doing things. That’s great, but it comes at cost
of making the whole system more fragile. For example just in time
manufacturing is efficient because it eliminates the cost and expense
of warehouses full of parts. Unfortunately, when there is a
disruption the whole line shuts down.
Toyota is smarter
than most companies. While they benefit from the just in time system,
they don’t use it for all their parts. They’ve identified key
parts, like computer chips, that need to stockpiled to prevent
manufacturing shutdowns. It makes them a bit more resilient to
fluctuations.
Going into the
winter I’m planning having at least three, maybe four, ways of
heating my house. Keeping warm is a basic need that I won’t gamble
with. Do I expect heating oil and gas shortages? Not in particular,
but it’s something that could always happen.
-Sixbears